Holiday Travel Boom: AAA Forecasts 119 Million Travelers
The upcoming holiday season promises to be historic, with AAA forecasting that 119.3 million Americans will travel at least 50 miles from home between December 21, 2025, and January 1, 2026. This represents a 3 million increase over last year and surpasses the pre-pandemic 2019 record by 64,000 travelers. The surge reflects growing enthusiasm for road trips, air travel, and cruises as families prioritize spending time together during the festive season.
Driving Leads the Way: Nearly 90% of Travelers Hitting the Road
AAA projects that road travel will dominate the holiday season, with nearly 107 million Americans choosing cars as their primary mode of transportation. This figure marks a 2.5 million increase from 2024, underscoring the enduring appeal of driving. While it narrowly misses the 2019 record of 108 million, several factors are fueling the resurgence in road travel.
Lower gas prices are making road trips more economical. The national average gas price in 2024 hovered around $3.12 per gallon, encouraging travelers to opt for cars over other forms of transportation. Seasonal trends such as decreased gas demand in December and reduced congestion at fuel stations further contribute to the affordability of road travel.
Car rentals are also seeing high demand, with Hertz identifying popular pick-up locations like Denver, Miami, Las Vegas, and Orlando. Rental activity peaks on December 20 and 21, with an average rental period of one week, as travelers gear up for long-distance journeys.
Air Travel Hits New Highs Despite Rising Costs
Air travel is set to break records this holiday season, with AAA predicting 7.85 million passengers will take to the skies. This surpasses the 2024 record of 7.5 million by 350,000 travelers. Despite a 4% increase in domestic airfare, bringing the average ticket price to $830, and a 13% rise in international fares, demand for air travel remains strong.
Travelers are drawn to the speed and convenience of flying, particularly when covering long distances. The availability of more direct flight options enhances the appeal of air travel, making it a top choice for families and individuals aiming to maximize time with loved ones.
Alternative Travel Options Gain Popularity
While cars and planes dominate holiday travel, other modes like buses, trains, and cruises are experiencing significant growth. AAA estimates that 4.47 million Americans will opt for these alternatives, a 10% increase from 2024 and the highest number in 20 years.
Cruise travel is seeing a remarkable surge, with domestic bookings up 37% compared to the previous year. Holiday-themed cruises, featuring festive events and activities, are becoming increasingly popular among families. These experiences offer an all-in-one vacation option, blending travel with celebrations, and are attracting more travelers during the holiday season.
AAA’s Holiday Safety Tips
With millions expected on the roads, AAA emphasizes the importance of travel safety. Here are some key tips for a smooth journey:
- Follow Speed Limits: Speeding increases the risk of accidents. Stay within posted limits to ensure a safer trip.
- Drive Alert and Rested: Avoid driving when tired, as fatigue impairs reaction times. Plan for regular breaks every two hours or 100 miles.
- Slow Down for Emergency Workers: When encountering roadside crews or emergency responders, reduce speed and change lanes if safe to do so.
High traffic volumes are expected around major metro areas like New York City, Boston, Seattle, and Washington, D.C., particularly during peak travel weekends. INRIX, a transportation data provider, predicts delays could double in these areas, with national travel times increasing by up to 30%.
Best and Worst Travel Times
AAA advises planning trips strategically to avoid congestion. December 22 is expected to be the busiest travel day, with peak traffic during commuting hours. To minimize delays, travelers should consider hitting the road early in the morning or late in the evening. Additionally, using navigation apps with real-time traffic updates can help identify less congested routes. For those with flexible schedules, shifting travel plans to less busy days can make a significant difference in travel time and overall experience.
Conclusion: A Record-Breaking Season of Connection and Celebration
The 2025 holiday travel season is shaping up to be the busiest on record, with millions of Americans hitting the roads, skies, and seas to celebrate with loved ones. Whether by car, plane, or alternative modes, this year’s surge in travel underscores the enduring importance of shared experiences and creating lifelong memories. With AAA’s safety tips in mind, travelers can look forward to a joyful and smooth holiday season.
